2010 Gubernatorial GOP Primary

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Dan Billings
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Did Mills' campaign finance

Did Mills' campaign finance report show any polling?

rklindell
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There are plenty of folks

There are plenty of folks doing polling out there. Maybe you have received a call?

Dan Billings
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Who is doing polling? The

Who is doing polling?

The only calls that I have heard of are what I would consider voter ID calls for campaigns. That is not polling.

There were no public polls done before the 2006 primary.

Thrasybulus
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Yes. Mills has a polling firm

Yes. Mills has a polling firm listed as a payment on his finance report. Off the top of my head, it was for $4700, but there may have been more than one payment.

sidney547
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to answer the original

to answer the original question:
1: LePage, Jacobson, Poliquen
2: yes, i will support whichever Republican wins, but my enthusiasm will be pretty much zero if Otten wins.

Dolley Madison
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"Mills has a polling firm

"Mills has a polling firm listed as a payment on his finance report. Off the top of my head, it was for $4700, but there may have been more than one payment."

Is that unusual...or does it carry any real significance...or is it just inside baseball?

FLNext
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I was called by someone

I was called by someone representing Sen. Mills last week. He said he wanted to ask 4 questions. I said "sure." I told him that I was familiar with Mills and was asked what I viewed as the most pressing needs for Maine. I think the 3rd question was whether I would support Sen. Mills for governor. The answer was "no" and the 4th question was never asked. The poller was polite and good-natured.

Dan Billings
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FLNext: That was a voter id

FLNext: That was a voter id call, not a poll. The purpose of a voter ID call is to identify supporters for get out the vote purposes.

Dolley: I just asked the question about polling expenditures because I am skeptical that anyone has good numbers on the race. It is very difficult to come up with a good polling model to accurately measure the vote in a race where so few people will vote.

For example, in 2006, I doubt any polling model would have picked up that Franklin County would turn out in bigger numbers for Chandler Woodcock than the home areas of Mills and Emery did for them.

Dolley Madison
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Mr. Billings...I wasnt

Mr. Billings...I wasnt commenting on your question..I really want to know if its important...

Dan Billings
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It is important because

It is important because people are claiming to know where things stand in the race right now. I don't buy it.

rklindell
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Nobody is claiming to know

Nobody is claiming to know anything. People are simple relaying anecdotes heard in the field.

Dan Billings
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People have been saying

People have been saying things like 70% of the voters are undecided.

rklindell
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I heard that 40% of likely

I heard that 40% of likely Republican voters are undecided, but close enough. I also hear that likely Republican voters are split 35/30/35 on tax reform.

J. McKane
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I also hear that likely

I also hear that likely Republican voters are split 35/30/35 on tax reform.

FXSTC
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35% are unemployed and don't

35% are unemployed and don't care

30% expect to move away for better jobs in the next year and don't care

35% are voting for the people's veto

Probably more like 80/20 for/against

HiddenMaine
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35% understand that lowering

35% understand that lowering the income and capital gains tax boosts the economy.

rklindell
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likely REPUBLICAN

likely REPUBLICAN voters!!!

Think about it....

J. McKane
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35% understand that lowering

35% understand that lowering the income and capital gains tax boosts the economy.

All things remaining the same, would a drop to only 7% have been enough for you?

J. McKane
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Likely REPUBLICAN

Likely REPUBLICAN voters!!!

Think about it....

Republicans understand that this plan benefits state government and ultimately take money out of the economy. They understand that it opens the door to tax the rest of the services not included this time - personal services like haircuts, etc and services on real property like plumbers, carpenters, etc. Republicans also understand that the other changes to the income tax code put us comepletly out of whack with the federal code. They understand that the new sales taxes will be another bureaucratic drag on Maine businesses. Republicans also understand that the income tax rate can go right back up to 8.5% in the blink of a governor's eye.

Mills Web Geek
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Republicans also understand

[i]Republicans also understand that the income tax rate can go right back up to 8.5% in the blink of a governor's eye.[/i]

Did Republicans make this very same claim for a few years when the sales tax was lowered from 6.5% to its current level?

Last I checked the legislature was also involved in the process of raising and lowering taxes.

Dolley Madison
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"...the income tax rate can

"...the income tax rate can go right back up to 8.5%..."

That seems a little high...is that what all Mainers are paying now?

rklindell
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Yep. If you make an average

Yep. If you make an average wage, that's what you pay on every extra dollar you earn from savings, investments and harder work.

Mike Lange
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My phone rings all the time

My phone rings all the time with some market research firm or New York City caller ID number. I usually don't answer or hang up in the middle of a robo-call.

Interesting observation from a Democratic acquaintance: They're praying for a LePage victory almost as fervently as some Republicans are hoping that Mitchell prevails for the Dems.

Steven Scharf
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Les Otten's basic Finance

Les Otten's basic Finance numbers.

Financial Summary for 2010
Cash Contributions: $116,692.44
In-Kind Contributions: $20,429.54
Other Cash Receipts: $0.00
Expenditures: $2,330,495.08
Loans: $2,216,760.00
Loan Payments: $0.00
Unpaid Debts and Obligations: $0.00

Was there a Les Otten Finance Report thread?

Steven Scharf
SCSMedia@aol.com

Dan Billings
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He will end up spending over

He will end up spending over $100 per vote for the primary.

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